From this point in time,
humanity's collapse is more likely than its survival:

AI-predicted end of time

Median estimated date

Probabilities are derived from the current End of Time Index and assume the current risk level remains constant. They are model estimates, not empirical predictions.

End of Time Index

—/100

7-Day Trend

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From 7 days ago

5-Year Probability

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Before —

50-Year Probability

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Before —

100-Year Probability

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Before —

7 Existential Risk Categories

Probability of humanity's collapse

Notable events of the last 7 days

      What is the end of time?

      An existential catastrophe is an event that causes either human extinction or a permanent and catastrophic collapse of humanity's ability to recover and develop.